Home court advantage. That is what is giving BYU the edge over the other two teams to finish second. BYU will play San Fransisco in Provo, a place the Cougars have only lost at two times all season, both to ranked teams. The most likely scenario is that BYU will finish 2-1 with a loss at Gonzaga and a win at home against San Diego and Saint Mary’s will lose a game, likely also to Gonzaga. Given every team wins the games they should from there, that would make BYU the two seed and Saint Mary’s the three seed with a tie breaker over SF.
Despite this, San Fransisco has a better chance at the two seed than Saint Mary’s does. If they knock off BYU, they will likely finish 4-0 while Saint Mary’s would still lose a game at Gonzaga. For that reason, here are the Lawless Republic’s odds of each team getting the two seed.
BYU: 45% of getting the two seed
SF: 35% of getting the two seed
SMC: 20% of getting the two seed
So what do you think? Does BYU really have the inside track for the two seed? Is the SF vs BYU game the WCC game of the year? Let us know in the comments!