BYU Football is entering a season with possibly more questions than ever before. When BYU Football entered the 2020 season they were underdogs to Navy. It is crazy to think that given all we know now, but it shows how unpredictable sports can be. We didn’t even know if we would get a season last year, yet the Cougars would end up finishing off the season 11-1 and finished No. 11 in the final AP rankings.
With so many players gone from last years team, there are a lot of questions this year as to how the team will be able to perform. Although the offense seems to be returning a majority of their production outside of the QB, the defense is looking for new leaders and depth.
Despite this, there are only five really realistic paths that I can see BYU Football going this season. These projections take into account minor injuries, however are not accounting for something crazy like seven starters going down on each side of the ball. Obviously if something like that happens, all bets are off.
No. 1 BYU finishes with 7 or 8 wins
This is the most likely scenario. In the 10 seasons that BYU has been Independent, the Cougars have finished with seven or eight wins five times. This scenario would see the Cougars go 3-4 against P5 teams, beat Utah State, South Florida, Idaho State and then go either 1-1 or 2-0 against Boise State and Georgia Southern.
Even though this doesn’t sound great, going 3-4 against P5 teams is nothing to be ashamed of. The average P5 team goes 4-5 every year in conference play. If you look at the final standings of any P5 conference, you will notice one or two dominant teams on top, a bunch of teams either a game above or below .500 and then one or two teams who really struggle.
In fact, in the SEC last season, nine out of the 14 teams in the conference finished with a .500 record or worse.
Being 3-4 would send a message that BYU Football can compete as a middle of the pack P5 team, something that probably only Cincinnati, UCF, Boise State and maybe Memphis could also claim.
Chance of happening: 50%