Weather/Elevation: USF is essentially coming from paradise in Tampa, Florida. The colder weather at high altitude will have an effect on the Bulls, on top of the fact that they are travelling across the country. The overall effect on this game may be minimal, but if it does have an effect, it will definitely lean in BYU’s favor.
The ROC: The first three weeks of the season the BYU ROC and fanbase in general has absolutely brought it to support the Cougars. If this was a normal game, the ROC may be 70% full and a lot of casual fans may fill the stadium, but with BYU’s No. 15 ranking and it being another night game, I expect the ROC to bring it again, albeit not as strong as before. Huge boost for BYU.
Distractions: As former offensive line coach would say, BYU needs to avoid the “poison”. After taking down three P5’s, it is easy to see how the Cougars could overlook the Bulls. What if the Bulls score a quick touchdown, get a turnover and score again? Suddenly BYU is down 14-0 and anything can happen. This category leans in USF’s favor.
Momentum: Outside of maybe 1984’s win over Pitt, 1990’s win over Miami or 2008’s win over Oklahoma, I can’t think of anytime when the Cougars have likely felt more momentum. Outside of just winning three straight games against the Pac 12 including Utah, the Cougars have also accepted an invitation from the Big 12 and gotten a lot of national attention. USF on the other hand has 1-2 record with their only win coming against FCS foe Florida A&M. Huge advantage to BYU.