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BYU Football: Can BYU lose a game and still play in a NY6

By Adam Gibby

Oct 1, 2021; Logan, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars running back Tyler Allgeier (25) is pursued by Utah State Aggies linebacker Kevin Meitzenheimer (33) during the third quarter at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 1, 2021; Logan, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars running back Tyler Allgeier (25) is pursued by Utah State Aggies linebacker Kevin Meitzenheimer (33) during the third quarter at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports /
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Ohio State Buckeyes running back TreVeyon Henderson (32) runs the ball during the first quarter of a NCAA Division I football game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday, Oct. 2, 2021 at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey.Cfb Ohio State Buckeyes At Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Ohio State Buckeyes running back TreVeyon Henderson (32) runs the ball during the first quarter of a NCAA Division I football game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday, Oct. 2, 2021 at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey.Cfb Ohio State Buckeyes At Rutgers Scarlet Knights /

A BIG Problem

The Big 10 is dominating the Top 25 rankings with five of the top 11 spots. It looks like there could potentially be a bunch of one or two loss teams who stay in the top 12 overall. The AP rankings have already shown that a one loss team can remain in the Top 10 if they have a good win or a “good loss”. Because of that, Michigan State, Michigan, Alabama, Ohio State, Georgia, Iowa and Penn State can all likely suffer one or even two losses and remain ranked in the Top 12.

If BYU loses a game, they will likely drop out of the Top 15, even if that loss is to Baylor or Virginia. If the Cougars find themselves in that position, it will be really tough for them to claw back into the NY6 discussion. Could they do it if they beat USC? Maybe, but it will likely require some two or three loss teams ahead of them in the Big 10 to lose.

The issue is the Iowa vs Penn State game this weekend does very little to help out BYU. The loser of that game will likely only drop to No. 6 in the rankings, and then if Michigan or Michigan State also beats them, they drop to maybe No. 10 in the rankings. A one loss BYU won’t jump that. BYU’s best hope is that a team like Rutgers, Minnesota or Purdue can pull off a major upset and make one of those five teams not look so great. Even that however, could leave BYU in a bad spot.

In other words, any team ranked between Alabama to Michigan State is likely in a New Year Six Bowl with two losses before BYU is with only one loss.

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