BYU Football: BYU’s Path to the NY6 based off the CFP poll

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Oct 30, 2021; Provo, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars running back Tyler Allgeier (25) runs the ball in the third quarter against the Virginia Cavaliers at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Swinger-USA TODAY Sports

BYU Football finds themselves on the outside looking in the New Years Six Bowl Conversation.

The New York Six Bowl Game dream appeared to be heavily hit when the Cougars lost to Boise State at home and then completely wiped out the following week when BYU lost to Baylor.

That all changed Tuesday night.

On Tuesday night in sort of a poetic opposite way, the Cougars came into the first College Football Playoff rankings ranked No. 15 in the nation after starting at No. 14 last year. With four weeks left in the season and only one opponent that will garner any kind of respect at all from the committee, BYU Football is going to need help if they are going to get back into the New York Six Conversation.

Here is a complete breakdown of what needs to happen.

Georgia, Ohio State, Cincinnati and Oklahoma

These four teams need to be the four teams in the College Football Playoff to give BYU their best shot at an at-large bid. To do that, all four need to win out and it would mean the following:

Georgia – Alabama loses a second game, bumping them out of the CFP, opening up a spot for Cincinnati.
Ohio State – Gives a loss to Michigan State, another loss to Michigan, and a NY6 knockout blow to Iowa or Wisconsin.
Oklahoma – Gives another loss to Oklahoma State, and then either another loss to OK State or a second loss to Baylor.
Cincinnati – If Cincinnati finds themselves in the College Football Playoff, the G5 autobid becomes a NY6 at-large. To emphasize, BYU would not get to replace them as the G5 auto-bid, rather it would become a third at-large NY6 spot open for a team like BYU.

While the combined odds of all of this happening are slim, each individual team has a legitimate shot of seeing this happen. Georgia will be favored to do what I mentioned, Cincinnati will as well. Ohio State and Oklahoma have taller tasks, but it is manageable.

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