No. 11 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State could break the head to head argument. If the Cowboys lose to Oklahoma late in the season and are only one spot ahead of Baylor, you’d think that Baylor would have to pass them right? Maybe not.
In the past the committee has shown that if a team loses to a top ten team by a margin that is fair for that difference in ranking, there is no dropping in the rankings. For BYU fans, the absolute best scenario here would be for Oklahoma State to lose to Oklahoma, have Oklahoma beat Baylor, and then have another loss by the Cowboys in the Big 12 Championship game.
No. 12 Baylor
Would it be better for Baylor to lose a few games, or better for them to run the table and then beat Oklahoma twice? I say the latter, but not by much. In at least the first rankings, the committee was very loyal to head to head matchups meaning that a two loss Baylor will almost certainly remain ranked higher than a two loss BYU.
Barring some kind of serious upset against TCU, Baylor won’t finish with more than two losses this season. This is another tough position for BYU because there just isn’t anything that the Cougars can really do to jump the Bears.