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BYU Football: BYU’s Path to the NY6 based off the CFP poll

By Adam Gibby

Oct 30, 2021; Provo, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars running back Tyler Allgeier (25) runs the ball in the third quarter against the Virginia Cavaliers at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Swinger-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 30, 2021; Provo, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars running back Tyler Allgeier (25) runs the ball in the third quarter against the Virginia Cavaliers at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Swinger-USA TODAY Sports /
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Oct 9, 2021; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears quarterback Gerry Bohanon (11) dives for the end zone pylon during the first half against the West Virginia Mountaineers at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 9, 2021; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears quarterback Gerry Bohanon (11) dives for the end zone pylon during the first half against the West Virginia Mountaineers at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports /

No. 11 Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State could break the head to head argument. If the Cowboys lose to Oklahoma late in the season and are only one spot ahead of Baylor, you’d think that Baylor would have to pass them right? Maybe not.

In the past the committee has shown that if a team loses to a top ten team by a margin that is fair for that difference in ranking, there is no dropping in the rankings. For BYU fans, the absolute best scenario here would be for Oklahoma State to lose to Oklahoma, have Oklahoma beat Baylor, and then have another loss by the Cowboys in the Big 12 Championship game.

No. 12 Baylor

Would it be better for Baylor to lose a few games, or better for them to run the table and then beat Oklahoma twice? I say the latter, but not by much. In at least the first rankings, the committee was very loyal to head to head matchups meaning that a two loss Baylor will almost certainly remain ranked higher than a two loss BYU.

Barring some kind of serious upset against TCU, Baylor won’t finish with more than two losses this season. This is another tough position for BYU because there just isn’t anything that the Cougars can really do to jump the Bears.

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