Skip to main content

My formula predicts the rest of BYU's games and other week 5 games

Plus a friendly competition with Dick Harmon
BySpencer Higinbotham
Sep 19, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA;  BYU Cougars running back Devaughn Eka (25) runs the ball in the second half against the Colorado State Rams at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Andrew Rydland-Imagn Images
Sep 19, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; BYU Cougars running back Devaughn Eka (25) runs the ball in the second half against the Colorado State Rams at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Rydland-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

BYU's bye week is over. How are all you Coug fans doing? Did you survive? I was OK because, as an Orem Tiger, I had the Orem-Timpview game to look forward to, and the Tigers got a nice 17-14 win. But I can't imagine what that bye week must have been like for non-Orem Tigers. Thankfully, we won't have to go more than a week without a BYU game for the rest of the season.

Here are my formula's predictions for the rest of BYU's games. They should be pretty similar to last week because BYU's stats didn't change during the bye week, but they will change a little because their opponents' stats did change.

BYU 28 TCU 22

BYU 31 Iowa St 19

Notre Dame 26 BYU 19

BYU 30 UCF 21

BYU 31 Arizona St 19

Utah 30 BYU 22

BYU 34 Baylor 19

BYU 29 Kansas 23

BYU 38 Cincinnati 22

My formula still says we'll lose to Utah in the Big 12 championship game whatever who cares let's move on.

It's time for my weekly competition with Dick Harmon of the Deseret News where we compare our predictions and see who's were better. Here are my predictions from last week, and here are his predictions. Basically, for each game, whoever gets the closest on the point spread gets 2 points, and whoever gets the closest on the point total gets one point. Some games are worth more. Here's the article where I explained the scoring in more detail. Harmon leads the series 2-1. Let's see if I can tie it up.

Game

Higinbotham's Prediction

Harmon's Prediction

Actual Score

Point Spread Winner (2 points)

Point Spread Bonuses

Point Total Winner (1 point)

Point Total Bonuses

Higinbotham Points Scored

Harmon Points Scored

Texas vs Tennessee

Texas 28-24

Texas 27-24

Texas 20-17

Harmon

+2 (Ranked matchup) x2 (Exactly right)

Harmon

+1 (Ranked matchup)

0

10

Colorado vs Baylor

Baylor 29-21

Baylor 28-14

Baylor 23-13

Higinbotham

None

Harmon

None

2

1

Notre Dame vs Purdue

Notre Dame 39-18

Notre Dame 42-10

Notre Dame 49-10

Harmon

None

Higinbotham

None

1

2

Oklahoma vs Georgia

Georgia 21-17

Georgia 33-28

Georgia 41-13

Harmon

None

Harmon

X2 (Disagreed by more than 15)

0

4

Ole Miss vs Florida

Florida 31-29

Ole Miss 37-24

Florida 52-28

Higinbotham

+2 (Ranked matchup) X2 (Disagreed on winner)

Harmon

+1 (Ranked matchup)

8

2

Houston vs Georgia Southern

Houston 35-21

Houston 31-10

Houston 42-28

Higinbotham

X2 (Exactly right)

Higinbotham

None

5

0

TCU vs UCF

UCF 24-22

UCF 27-21

UCF 21-13

Harmon

None

Higinbotham

None

1

2

Iowa vs Michigan

Michigan 21-14

Michigan 17-14

Iowa 20-19

Harmon

+2 (Ranked matchup)

Higinbotham

+1 (Ranked matchup)

2

4

Utah vs Iowa St

Utah 29-21

Utah 31-10

Utah 31-17

Higinbotham

+2 (Utah game)

Higinbotham

+1 (Utah game)

6

0

Kansas St vs Cincinnati

KSU 30-24

KSU 31-14

Cincinnati 31-26

Higinbotham

None

Higinbotham

None

3

0

Oklahoma St vs West Virginia

WV 27-26

WV 34-31

OSU 41-24

Higinbotham

None

Harmon

X2 (Exactly right)

2

2

Oregon vs USC

Oregon 32-27

USC 24-21

Oregon 41-27

Higinbotham

+2 (Ranked matchup) X2 (Disagreed on winner)

Higinbotham

+1 (Ranked matchup)

10

0

Arizona vs Washington St

Arizona 27-20

Arizona 35-21

Arizona 34-24

Higinbotham

None

Harmon

None

2

1

And the final score is: Higinbotham 42 Harmon 28. I have officially come back from down 2-0 and tied the series at 2-2. And I did it in spite of the fact that Harmon got 10 points just because his prediction for the Texas-Tennessee game was one point different from mine.

Here are my formula's predictions for week 5:

Mississippi St 32 Alabama 30

Kansas 35 Middle Tennessee 16

Notre Dame 31 North Carolina 13

Houston 33 UCF 21

Iowa St 32 West Virginia 22

Missouri 28 Florida 27

Ohio St 25 Iowa 21

Oregon St 34 Colorado St 27

BYU 28 TCU 22

Miami 29 Clemson 19

Texas Tech 27 Colorado 23

Boise St 32 Utah St 23

Arizona St 26 Baylor 20

Arizona 32 Cincinnati 25

As I always say at the end of every article, remember to be kind to the officials.

Add us as a preferred source on Google

Loading recommendations... Please wait while we load personalized content recommendations