The 5 most likely record scenarios for BYU Football

PROVO, UT- SEPTEMBER 22: The Wasatch Mountain range is the back drop for the LaVell Edwards Stadium during the game between the BYU Cougars and the McNeese State Cowboys on September 22, 2018 in Provo, Utah. (Photo by Chris Gardner/Getty Images)
PROVO, UT- SEPTEMBER 22: The Wasatch Mountain range is the back drop for the LaVell Edwards Stadium during the game between the BYU Cougars and the McNeese State Cowboys on September 22, 2018 in Provo, Utah. (Photo by Chris Gardner/Getty Images) /
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BOISE, ID – NOVEMBER 3: Head Coach Kalani Sitake of the BYU Cougars walks off the field after a close loss to the Boise State Broncos on November 3, 2018 at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Boise State won the game 21-16. (Photo by Loren Orr/Getty Images)
BOISE, ID – NOVEMBER 3: Head Coach Kalani Sitake of the BYU Cougars walks off the field after a close loss to the Boise State Broncos on November 3, 2018 at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Boise State won the game 21-16. (Photo by Loren Orr/Getty Images) /

No. 3 BYU finishes with 6 wins

Yes, this a very specific win total, but I do believe that there is a clear difference between five and six wins.

If BYU starts 1-2 against Arizona, Utah and Arizona State, the Cougars may have a tough time making it bowl eligible. Again, let’s assume that Utah State, Southern Florida, and Idaho State can be chalked up as wins. That puts BYU at four wins.

Between Baylor, Virginia, Washington State, Georgia Southern, and Boise State I don’t see BYU going worse 2-3. That would put BYU at six wins. We will also assume that BYU loses to USC, possibly the best team on BYU’s schedule.

Getting six wins would be enough to keep fans from calling for any coaches jobs (unless the defense gives up 40 points per game), however it would make fans feel like without Zach Wilson, BYU’s upward trajectory will have completely reversed and things will not be looking great going forward.

Chance of happening: 10%