No. 3 BYU finishes with 6 wins
Yes, this a very specific win total, but I do believe that there is a clear difference between five and six wins.
If BYU starts 1-2 against Arizona, Utah and Arizona State, the Cougars may have a tough time making it bowl eligible. Again, let’s assume that Utah State, Southern Florida, and Idaho State can be chalked up as wins. That puts BYU at four wins.
Between Baylor, Virginia, Washington State, Georgia Southern, and Boise State I don’t see BYU going worse 2-3. That would put BYU at six wins. We will also assume that BYU loses to USC, possibly the best team on BYU’s schedule.
Getting six wins would be enough to keep fans from calling for any coaches jobs (unless the defense gives up 40 points per game), however it would make fans feel like without Zach Wilson, BYU’s upward trajectory will have completely reversed and things will not be looking great going forward.
Chance of happening: 10%