Transfer center Jaxon Kohler's crystal ball is 100% projected to BYU basketball

I have some great news about Jaxon Kohler, but you have to promise not to celebrate too early.

According to 247 Sports' crystal ball projections, the Michigan State transfer and fifth-year veteran Jaxon Kohler is 100% projected to commit to Kevin Young's BYU basketball program. This is insider Travis Branham's intel-based projection and the final push down the hill toward Kohler's commitment.

It's a big deal, and something tangible for BYU fans to hold to as they anticipate his decision. The Cougars have been desperate for a center of Kohler's ability all offseason, whiffing on countless prospects as they scrap to plug the final leak in the roster. Getting a reliable, power-conference-level contributor at the 5 is a must for a BYU team desperate to prove that their donors' trust and investment in the program's NIL budget have not been made in vain -- another fortifying plant on the postseason pirate ship.

Kohler is the perfect player for BYU's needs. He's an excellent rebounder and defender down low, with an elite 38% three-point jump shot as a senior. Among the best stretch bigs in college basketball, Kohler was Tom Izzo's starter with a very talented Michigan State program. It's all perfect.

Jaxon Kohler has not committed to BYU basketball... yet.

But this comes with a catch -- and a substantial one, at that. And I'm going to bold and italicize this so I'm not misunderstood.

A crystal ball does not mean a commitment.

Crystal ball projections can be valuable insights for outside parties to get a glimpse into the movement of a specific player's recruitment, but an expert's crystal ball projection is a prediction -- nothing more.

Robert Wright III was once projected to join Mark Pope and Kentucky through the transfer portal this offseason, and we all know how that story ended.

Optimism is an appropriate response to the latest in Kohler's recruiting saga -- certainty is not.

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